Insights

The Fertilizer Front: How the Iran War Is Repricing the Commodity Complex

Executive Summary Almost a month into the Iran conflict, de-escalations are underway, but none constitute a credible off-ramp. Iran’s leverage is real and Tehran may not yet believe it has extracted sufficient deterrent value to stand down. A ground force operation targeting Kharg Island, which handles up to 90% of Iran’s oil exports, would risk […]

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