In Chinese mythology, the white dragon symbolizes death and rebirth. This analogy seems applicable for foreign investors in Chinese equity markets this year. The recent rout in Chinese equity markets has come as a shock to many market participants, especially considering the downdraft in risk is isolated (for now) to this geographical region. Source: Bloomberg…
Tag: interest rates
Flying Too Close to the Sun
Many have heard the ancient Greek myth of Icarus, the boy who was granted the gift of flight by his father who crafted wings out of wax and feathers in order for the duo to escape the labyrinth to which they were confined. Icarus’s father had only one warning for his son and that was…
Is the 60/40 Portfolio Dead?
Over the last decade, there have been many proclamations that the traditional 60/40 portfolio is dead, mainly due to the fact that bonds were supposedly overvalued and yields couldn’t go any lower. This article from Ben Carlson highlights that while a 60/40 portfolio has delivered outstanding returns as a result of falling real interest rates…
Surviving in the Longest Bull Market as a Bear
There is an old saying that “bull markets don’t die of old age, they get murdered by central banks.” This makes a lot of sense, given that central banks control short-term borrowing rates and use that policy tool as a way to influence the economic cycle in an orderly fashion. The Federal Reserve (arguably the…