Human Irrationality and Investment

As the battle between passive and active investing rages on and evidence continues to pile up to support the use of indexing strategies over picking stocks, investors continue to trade excessively in hopes of beating the market. Even worse, some pay exorbitant fees to managers that continually underperform. So, why do people continue to invest…

Surviving in the Longest Bull Market as a Bear

There is an old saying that “bull markets don’t die of old age, they get murdered by central banks.” This makes a lot of sense, given that central banks control short-term borrowing rates and use that policy tool as a way to influence the economic cycle in an orderly fashion. The Federal Reserve (arguably the…