Your Guess Is as Good as Mine

From February 19th to March 23rd, the S&P 500 plummeted -34 percent. From March 23rd until time of composition, the same index climbed approximately 50 percent. Do not confuse this as a net gain. (Refer to our blog series on risk and volatility for how path dependency is important for the geometric compounding of investment…

Avoiding the Zeros

Games involving strategy can be classified into two buckets: winner’s games or loser’s games. The difference is that a “winner’s game” victor utilizes superior maneuvers to overwhelm opponents, whereas a “loser’s game” victor avoids fatal errors and self-sabotage. Investing has been labeled the latter type, discussed further in a recent article titled “Avoiding the Zeros.”…