“Peeky” Blinders

When individuals have uncertainty about a specific product or idea, they will often look to what their peer group is doing to help them decide. Social proof is a behavioural bias that can lead to decision making errors. By embracing a process-driven research flow to guard against behavioural biases and data peeking, Viewpoint can distinguish between true and false alpha.

Plot Twist: Your Bond Portfolio May Be Riskier Than You Think

Government bonds are often referred to as risk-free or safe-haven assets, and, in the right context, this is a correct label as they are low volatility investments that represent money lent to a sovereign nation with almost no risk of default. However, in the first half of 2022, a diversified portfolio of global government bonds returned -13.3% in CAD terms. So, how do we reconcile an outcome like this with the near-risk-free or safe-haven aspect of the asset class?

Rising From the Ashes

In early 2020, very few people understood the gravity of the situation occurring in China and the devastating impact that the global pandemic would have. This new disease, and the subsequent efforts to contain it, impacted the entire world. It has changed the way we work, changed the way we interacted, and changed the way many of us thought about disease and healthcare.

How Commodities Can Give Your Portfolio a Fresh Start

The traditional 60/40 balanced portfolio is no stranger to coming under fire. Many pundits have decreed the death of the balanced portfolio, arguing that a low yield environment will prove insurmountable and bonds will no longer be able to provide necessary diversification for investor portfolios. This proclamation has yet to be proven correct, and in the investment management industry, being too early is the same thing as being wrong. That being said, is this time different?

Death to the 60/40! Long Live the 60/40!

The traditional 60/40 balanced portfolio is no stranger to coming under fire. Many pundits have decreed the death of the balanced portfolio, arguing that a low yield environment will prove insurmountable and bonds will no longer be able to provide necessary diversification for investor portfolios. This proclamation has yet to be proven correct, and in the investment management industry, being too early is the same thing as being wrong. That being said, is this time different?

Know When to Hold’em, Know When to Fold’em

BLOG SERIES: RISK PARITY

In the second installment of this blog series on risk parity, we are going to dive into how dynamically adjusting the leverage applied to the strategy can result in increased stability of the portfolio’s return profile. Actively adjusting the amount of leverage applied to the portfolio is how the strategy scales the size of its bets based on changes in market risk.

The Impacts of Risk Parity Strategies

Ray Dalio’s Bridgewater is the latest celebrity investment management firm to opine that in a low-interest rate environment government bonds not only offer little in the way of value for investors, but that their ability to provide risk reduction during financial stress will be impaired as well. As this article from Bloomberg reports, Bridgewater is…

What is Driving the Surge of Interest in Stocks?

Whether it’s from speaking to friends and family or browsing social media feeds, it’s easy to see that there is a renewed interest in the stock market among retail investors. At first glance, having more people interested in their personal finance and investing in financial markets seems like a very positive thing. However, after closer…

Your Guess Is as Good as Mine

From February 19th to March 23rd, the S&P 500 plummeted -34 percent. From March 23rd until time of composition, the same index climbed approximately 50 percent. Do not confuse this as a net gain. (Refer to our blog series on risk and volatility for how path dependency is important for the geometric compounding of investment…

Know Thyself

The current whipsaw action of markets has resulted in a wide spectrum of forecasts ranging from a V-shaped recovery to the erosion of economies resulting in a prolonged recession. With forecasts abound, famed investor, Howard Marks, tackled this topic in his most recent memo. Mr. Marks notes one shock event is enough to throw forecasts…